Food shortages and declines in water reserves induced warming may lead to substantial migration of population, disorganize the states and foster terrorism warn international experts. In a report entitled “Climate Change, a risk assessment”, scientists, political analysts and experts in financial and military risks paint a bleak picture of the future of humanity.
With the rising level the seas, the area of agricultural production areas and dwellings will be limited, which should encourage conflict, especially in already volatile regions like the Middle East and Africa.
With already an average global warming of 0.8 degrees Celsius since the Industrial Revolution, the world faces “significant challenges,” the report said. “A greater climate change will likely lead to enormous risks to national and international security” because the scarcity of drinking water and arable land will become “a source of conflict.”
Movements of populations never seen
The current refugee problem in Europe seem insignificant meet the enormous population movements that will be generated by future climate disasters, according to these experts. “In some areas, migration may become more a necessity than a choice, and occur at a scale never seen so far,” the report said. Such situations should destabilize States today may look solid, especially in the Middle East and North Africa, experts warn. The population growth in sub-Saharan Africa, the region most affected by the world food problems region will exacerbate these problems.
Climate change will exert a destabilizing pressure on several countries and regions simultaneously, reduce intervention capacities of governments and administration without leave whole territories. This power vacuum will encourage the emergence of terrorist groups will have no trouble recruiting among marginalized and impoverished populations, further underscores this report by more than 40 experts and intended to guide governments in their choice.