The general increase in rates, made possible by the spread of broadband and high speed mobile networks worldwide, mechanically causes a rise in traffic. The more we give, the more we consume … And the trend is not about to stop, says Cisco.
One thing is certain, networks of operators will be under pressure. According to the supplier, the annual global IP traffic is expected to triple by 2019 to reach 2 zettabytes. In addition to increasing the speed (doubled on the sets), the US firm justifies this threefold increase in the number of Internet users (3.9 billion against 2.8), personal terminals and M2M connections ( the average number of connections / connected devices will increase to 3.2 / capita by 2019, against 2 in 2014). Not to mention the adoption of advanced video services: by 2019, IP video will represent 80% of IP traffic, against 67%
In 2019, traffic will equal the
total traffic since the creation of the Internet between 1984 and 2013
“The convergence of these variables will result in an annual growth rate (CAGR) of global IP traffic by 23%. For the first time in nearly 10 years, the global CAGR of NAV forecasts are revised upwards from previous estimates (in 2014, the NAV was forecasting growth of 21% CAGR for the period 2013-2018), “said Cisco
According to Cisco, global IP traffic will reach 168 exabytes / month by 2019, against about 59.9 exabytes / month in 2014. More amazing: in 2019, traffic in global IP networks almost equal the total traffic since the creation of the Internet between 1984 and 2013.
In 2019, more than 14% of the monthly IP traffic will be generated by cellular connections and 53% by the Wi-Fi connections. The terminals connected Wi Fie and generate 67% of mobile IP traffic by 2019: 53% for Wi-Fi and 14% for cellular connections. Fixed traffic will represent 33% of overall traffic.
Cisco also provides a net increase network traffic associated with downloading games. This trend is explained by the storage capacity on consoles, increasing the ascending cloud traffic and the deployment of the fiber.
For operators, the challenges to support this exponential growth are many, but known. The key is investment in infrastructure such as fiber optic networks, 4G / 5G or frequencies such as the liberalization of the 700 MHz in France.
Moreover, IP networks “will gain sufficient intelligence and flexibility to support evolving applications (news and updates) for fixed and mobile networks, “concludes Cisco
Some additional figures.
IP video traffic worldwide:
-134.8 exabytes per month in 2019 CAGR of 27% between 2014 and 2019.
– IP video traffic will be multiplied by 3 between 2014 and 2019.
-the video traffic over IP public represent 84% of public IP traffic by 2019, an increase of 75% compared to 2014
-the professional IP video traffic will account for its 63% of the professional IP traffic by 2019, an increase of 36% compared to 2014.
Global online video traffic
-105 exabytes per month in 2019 CAGR of 33% between 2014 and 2019.
-the online video traffic will be multiplied by 4 between 2014 and 2019.
-the online video traffic is expected to reach 105 exabytes per month by 2019, against 25 exabytes per month in 2014.
-the video traffic online (professional and consumer ) represent 77% of the total 2019 online traffic, against 59% in 2014.
-the video traffic over IP public account for 80% of all the public IP traffic by 2019, an increase of 64% compared to 2014.
-the professional IP video traffic will represent, meanwhile, 65% of all professional IP traffic by 2019, against 38 % in 2014.
global business IP Traffic
29.9 exabytes per month in 2019 CAGR of 20% between 2014 and 2019.
-the professional global IP traffic, which includes Web, backups and VoIP will double between 2014 and 2019.
-in 2014 professional IP traffic represented 20% of total global IP traffic generated each month (80% for the public IP traffic).
-in 2019 professional IP traffic will represent 18% of total global IP traffic generated each month (82% for the public IP traffic).